Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001394 0.001516 0.001647 0.001800 0.001973 0.002164 0.002391
2025-11-30 0.001231 0.001391 0.001574 0.001799 0.002071 0.002394 0.002810
2025-12-07 0.001101 0.001278 0.001487 0.001755 0.002097 0.002524 0.003110
2025-12-14 0.001013 0.001201 0.001429 0.001733 0.002135 0.002662 0.003426
2025-12-21 0.000933 0.001124 0.001362 0.001688 0.002134 0.002740 0.003663
2025-12-28 0.000839 0.001022 0.001253 0.001577 0.002029 0.002662 0.003660
2026-01-04 0.000774 0.000952 0.001182 0.001509 0.001977 0.002649 0.003745
2026-01-11 0.000733 0.000912 0.001146 0.001485 0.001982 0.002718 0.003965
2026-01-18 0.000702 0.000882 0.001122 0.001476 0.002008 0.002818 0.004245
2026-01-25 0.000770 0.000991 0.001295 0.001763 0.002505 0.003717 0.006067
2026-02-01 0.000721 0.000933 0.001228 0.001688 0.002428 0.003661 0.006122
2026-02-08 0.000690 0.000900 0.001196 0.001663 0.002430 0.003741 0.006455
2026-02-15 0.000671 0.000887 0.001196 0.001696 0.002543 0.004057 0.007399
2026-02-22 0.000644 0.000860 0.001174 0.001694 0.002599 0.004279 0.008212
2026-03-01 0.000610 0.000821 0.001132 0.001654 0.002583 0.004361 0.008722
2026-03-08 0.000584 0.000792 0.001103 0.001633 0.002599 0.004507 0.009439
2026-03-15 0.000555 0.000758 0.001063 0.001592 0.002572 0.004559 0.009924
2026-03-22 0.000515 0.000704 0.000991 0.001489 0.002419 0.004323 0.009545
2026-03-29 0.000486 0.000667 0.000943 0.001427 0.002339 0.004237 0.009588
2026-04-05 0.000468 0.000646 0.000920 0.001405 0.002336 0.004322 0.010173
2026-04-12 0.000454 0.000630 0.000904 0.001397 0.002359 0.004472 0.011014
2026-04-19 0.000493 0.000700 0.001033 0.001661 0.002979 0.006205 0.018490
2026-04-26 0.000468 0.000666 0.000986 0.001592 0.002873 0.006049 0.018448